May 2026 · Offer Valuation Analysis
A defensible offer range for a 10,800 SF Class C retail building on the Blossom Hill corridor — three valuation approaches reconciled into one number.
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The recipient is solely responsible for evaluating and verifying property condition and information through independent sources before making any decision to purchase, invest, lease, or otherwise act on the property. Any projections, opinions, assumptions, or estimates used herein are for example only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property.
The Offer Valuation Analysis presented here represents the broker's professional opinion of the most probable price the property would bring in a competitive and open market, prepared for the buyer's offer decision. This analysis is not a formal appraisal and should not be relied upon as such. Recipients underwriting an acquisition should obtain an independent appraisal from a licensed appraiser.
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated
The headline numbers favor sellers. The segment numbers don't.
| Subtype | Vacancy | Asking Rent | YoY | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mall | 3.6% | $44.08 | 1.3% | Tight |
| Power Center | 2.4% | $44.88 | 1.4% | Tightest |
| Neighborhood Ctr | 6.3% | $43.57 | 1.3% | Highest vacancy |
| Strip Center | 4.6% | $37.55 | 1.8% | Volatile |
| General Retail | 1.0% | $40.34 | 1.7% | Tight |
| Submarket Overall | 4.2% | $42.43 | 1.4% | Headline |
Neighborhood Center (green) sits visibly above all other subtypes — same story the table tells, in one chart.
Site facts, status, tax assessment context, and the gap between the seller's ask and what the data supports.
| GLA | 10,800 SF |
| Lot | 1.00 AC (43,560 SF) |
| Year Built | 1972 |
| Class | C / 2-star |
| Type | Retail Storefront |
| Stories | 1 |
| Frontage | Blossom Hill |
| Parking | 53 spaces (4.90 / 1,000 SF) |
| Zoning | CP |
| Bldg FAR | 0.25 |
| Occupancy | 0% (fully vacant) |
| Marketing | ~448 days |
| Tenancy | Single (vacant) |
| Tax 2025 — Land | $3,904,315 |
| Tax 2025 — Imp. | $3,458,108 |
| Tax 2025 — Total | $7,362,423 |
| Tax / SF | $8.44 / SF (2024) |
Seller pricing: Asking $5,988,000 (current OM dated 06.04.25) reflects a leased-asset profile and ignores 100% vacancy plus a $400K–$700K lease-up reserve. The 2025 county assessment ($7.36M) sits above verified vacant-comp evidence.
Property exteriors · 465 Blossom Hill Rd, San Jose
Income capitalization, sales comparison, and land/redevelopment — what each implies, where they agree, and what a buyer would actually pay.
Best for: owner-user / nonprofit redev
| Anchor | $ / AC | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Comp 1 — 405 Blossom Hill | $2,698,413 | Vacant retail / redev buyer |
| Comp 5 — 5651 Cottle | $1,698,946 | Sale-implied; 4.27 AC |
| Comp 5 — assessor crosscheck | $1,639,933 | Independent validation |
| Subject — 2025 land assessed | $3,904,315 | Upper end of range |
| Comp 6 — 6097 Snell | $7,246,377 | Owner-user gas premium |
| Comp 7 — 620 Blossom Hill | $8,798,165 | Meriwest CU adjacency |
Best for: developer / repositioning
| Approach | Indicated Low | Indicated High | Best for buyer type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Income Capitalization (as-is) | $3.7M | $4.6M | Investor pricing future NNN income |
| Sales Comparison | $2.7M | $3.2M | Owner-user / nonprofit redev |
| Land / Redevelopment | $1.7M | $3.9M | Developer / repositioning |
| Concluded — AS-IS | $2.7M | $4.0M | Where vacant comp evidence converges |
| Concluded — STABILIZED | $4.3M | $4.9M | Fully leased at $23.88 NNN, capped 5.26–6.00% |
| Scenario | Range | $/SF | Buyer profile | What you'd need to believe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative (as-is) | $3.5M – $4.0M | $324 – $370 | Owner-user / nonprofit redev | Mirror Comp 1 (Charities Housing) — defensive pricing |
| Recommended Offer Midpoint | $4.25M | $393.52 | Investor or owner-user (general) | Defensible without a special story |
| Lease-up investment | $4.5M – $4.9M | $417 – $454 | Investor underwriting NNN income | $23.88/SF NNN × 10,800 SF ≈ $258K NOI capped 5.26–6% |
| Strategic buyer | $5.0M – $5.5M+ | $463+ | Specific owner-user / dense entitlement | Mirror Comp 7 (Meriwest adjacency) or Comp 6 (Gawfco) |
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated
Sales-comp roster, tax-assessment crosscheck, lease comps (executed + active), pro forma build, cap-rate sensitivity, sources.
| # | Address | Sale Date | Sale Price | GLA (SF) | $/SF | Cap | Land (AC) | Buyer / Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 405 Blossom Hill Rd | 3/6/2026 | $1,700,000 | 6,020 | $282 | — | 0.63 | Charities Housing (nonprofit redev) |
| 2 | 1015 Blossom Hill Rd (Denny's) | 1/16/2026 | $4,195,333 | 5,504 | $762 | — | 1.06 | Essential Properties (sale-leaseback) |
| 3 | 6133 Camino Verde — Plaza de Santa Teresa | 12/30/2025 | $1,550,000 | 20,091 | $154 | — | — | 50% partial interest in condo |
| 4 | 981 Blossom Hill Rd (IHOP) | 7/22/2025 | $5,575,000 | 4,600 | $1,212 | 5.26% | 0.72 | Longzhe Li — income cap anchor |
| 5 | 5651 Cottle Rd (Orchard Supply) | 6/26/2025 | $7,254,500 | 44,648 | $162 | — | 4.27 | Dollinger Properties (vacant big-box auction) |
| 6 | 6097 Snell (Santa Teresa Sq) | 5/15/2025 | $5,000,000 | 2,001 | $2,499 | — | 0.69 | Gawfco (gas station owner-user) |
| 7 | 620 Blossom Hill (Sunrise Plaza) | 5/5/2025 | $9,590,000 | 9,001 | $1,065 | — | 1.09 | Meriwest Credit Union (adjacency) |
| # | Address | Land Assessed | Imp. Assessed | Total Assessed | Sale Price | Assd / Sale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 405 Blossom Hill | $1,393,996 | $2,162,712 | $3,556,708 | $1,700,000 | 209% |
| 4 | 981 Blossom Hill (IHOP) | $4,319,899 | $1,421,738 | $5,741,637 | $5,575,000 | 103% |
| 5 | 5651 Cottle (Orchard) | $7,002,517 | $3,612,688 | $10,615,205 | $7,254,500 | 146% |
| 6 | 6097 Snell (gas) | $1,323,928 | $281,941 | $1,605,869 | $5,000,000 | 32% |
| 7 | 620 Blossom Hill (CU) | $2,151,776 | $1,352,541 | $3,504,317 | $9,590,000 | 37% |
| — | SUBJECT — 465 Blossom Hill | $3,904,315 | $3,458,108 | $7,362,423 | — (vacant) | — |
*Prop 13: California's 1978 property-tax limitation. A property's assessed value is set at acquisition price and can only rise ~2% per year while held; on sale, the assessor "resets" to the new market value. Long-held assets therefore carry assessments well below market (low assessed/sale ratios), while recently-traded assets reset close to market — which is why ratios swing widely across comps and don't reflect underlying value.
Including these would inflate the indicated value without an apples-to-apples buyer-profile match. The peach-highlighted comps (1, 4, 5) are the ones we anchor methods to.
Sale-leaseback / portfolio allocation. Master Lease at portfolio level, not market lease — not arm's-length.
50% partial interest in a condo. Not directly comparable to subject's whole-asset, fee-simple profile.
Gas station operator (Gawfco) owner-user purchase. Strategic premium for fuel-pad operations, not a generic land or redev comp.
Meriwest Credit Union owner-user with adjacency premium. Buyer paid for proximity to existing operations, not raw land/building value.
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated
| # | Address | Yr / Class | SF | Rent $/SF | Service | Sign Date | Tenant / Term | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1015 Blossom Hill | 1978 / B | 5,504 | Withheld | NNN | 1/16/26 | Denny's, 25 yr | Sale-leaseback |
| 2 | 1030 Blossom Hill | 1964 / B | 19,592 | Not disclosed | Direct | 10/16/25 | — | Same corridor, similar size |
| 3–5 | 5272 Monterey Hwy | 1964 / C | 14,000 | Not disclosed | Direct | 6/30/25 | Los Gonzales / Mariscos / Barreras | Multi-tenant Class C |
| 6 | 4850 Harwood Rd | 1963 / C | 5,802 | $45.00 NNN | NNN +4% esc | 6/2/25 | Toddler Town, 10 yr | Disclosed; "Needs Renovation" |
| 7 | Hacienda Gardens (3171–3197 Meridian) | 1963 / C | 17,340 | $30.00 NNN | NNN | 8/21/24 | Sky Zone, 10 yr | STRONGEST ANALOG — large-block Class C |
| # | Address | Yr / Class | Avail. SF | Asking Rent | % Leased | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2011–2023 Camden (Camden Park) | 1990 / 3-star | 690 – 1,548 | $39 NNN | 77.7% | Small in-line pads, premium |
| 2 | 5750–5768 Santa Teresa (Cahalan Sq) | 1979 / renov 2022 | 1,420 – 1,805 | $36 NNN +$0.90 CAM | 81.9% | Recent renovation premium |
| 3 | 898 Blossom Hill (Kohl's Plaza) | 1971 / 2-star | 20,000 | Withheld | 0% | SUBJECT'S TWIN — same era, class, corridor |
| 4 | 1080 Blossom Hill (Blossom Hill Shopping) | 1978 / 3-star | 1,400 – 5,505 | Withheld | 13.6% | Same corridor, heavy vacancy |
| 5 | 1111–1125 Branham Ln | 1967 / 3-star | 1,500 – 5,000 | Withheld | 74.2% | CVS, O'Reilly, Carl's Jr anchors |
| 6 | 5899 Santa Teresa (Plaza Del Rey) | 1986 / 3-star | 5,803 | Withheld | 50% | Heavy vacancy |
| 7 | 2029–2035 Camden (Camden Park) | 1990 / 3-star | 1,902 | $60 NNN | 69.7% | OUTLIER — small pad premium |
| 8 | 4424–4442 Pearl Ave (Branham Plaza) | 1965 / 2-star | 650 | $30 NNN | 92.8% | Disclosed, 650 SF small suite |
| 9 | 1173–1187 Redmond (Redwood Plaza) | 1976 / 3-star | 875 | Withheld | 90.2% | Small strip, well-leased |
| 10 | 5506 Monterey Hwy (Monterey Plaza) | 1990 / 2-star | 5,000 | Withheld | 0% | Newer (1990) but FULLY VACANT |
| Tier | Market Rent | Anchor / Logic |
|---|---|---|
| Low / conservative | $26.00 NNN | Subject's $23.88 ask + slight uplift; worst-case condition discount |
| MID / RECOMMENDED ANCHOR | $28.00 NNN | Hacienda Gardens ($30 NNN) discounted ~7% for condition |
| High / aspirational | $30.00 NNN | Match Hacienda Gardens. Achievable only with significant TI |
| Outliers (do NOT use) | $36 – $60 NNN | Small in-line pad rents (650 – 1,900 SF) — not analog |
| Line Item | Method A — NNN | Method B — Gross Equivalent (35%) |
|---|---|---|
| Market rent (NNN) | $28.00 / SF | $28.00 / SF |
| + Estimated opex burden | — | $12.00 / SF |
| × Subject GLA | 10,800 SF | 10,800 SF |
| Gross potential rent | $302,400 | $432,000 |
| Less 5% vacancy / collection loss | −$15,120 | −$21,600 |
| Less expenses | landlord ~8% of EGI | 35%* |
| STABILIZED NOI | ~$264K | ~$265K |
*standard assumption
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated
| Rent | NOI | @ 5.26% | @ 5.90% | @ 6.00% | @ 6.50% | @ 7.00% | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $26 | $245,419 | $4.67M | $4.16M | $4.09M | $3.78M | $3.51M | Conservative; matches subject's $23.88 ask |
| $28 | $264,298 | $5.02M | $4.48M | $4.40M | $4.07M | $3.78M | RECOMMENDED ANCHOR |
| $30 | $283,176 | $5.38M | $4.80M | $4.72M | $4.36M | $4.05M | Match Hacienda Gardens; needs significant TI |
| $32 | $302,054 | $5.74M | $5.12M | $5.03M | $4.65M | $4.32M | Aspirational; submarket avg minus 25% large-block |
Bold row = recommended anchor at $28 NNN (Hacienda Gardens minus condition discount). Submarket-level avg cap rate from CoStar 12-mo trades is 5.3% — supports the lower end of our 5.26 – 6.00% range.
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated
Verified comp data, lease comps, submarket benchmarks, and the underwriting assumptions behind the NOI build and the $/AC range.
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated
Commercial Real Estate, Luxury Residential · Keller Williams Advisors
Each Office Independently Owned and Operated · DRE #01906450